Oscar Odds: Winners Are Hard to Predict thanks to Pandemic “Effect”. Who’s on Your List?

This year’s Academy Awards  event is  sure to be an interesting affair as Hollywood emerges from the pandemic in a live setting. While some of the traditions will be put aside for safety, gambling on the event is still as popular as ever.

SportsBetting.ag has set odds for 20 Oscars categories, and also provided some pertinent wagering information.

You can see which nominees are being bet on the most, and which odds have moved the most.
For example, Youn Yuh-jung went from +175 odds to -450 odds in the Best Supporting Actress category.

Top 3 Most Bet

1. Youn Yuh-jung (Best Supporting Actress)

2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Best Picture)

3. Viola Davis (Best Actress)

Top 3 Largest Liability (the bookie stands to lose the most if these pull off upsets)

1. Amanda Seyfried (Best Supporting Actress)

2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Best Picture)

3. Emerald Fennell (Best Director)

 

 

Here are some quotes from the SportsBetting.ag head oddsmaker, Robert Cooper:

“When it comes to wagering on the ‘entertainment markets,’ the Oscars by far and away attracts the most and biggest bets.

“This year, more than ever due to the pandemic, it feels like there will be a lot of upsets. The predictive markets aren’t really sure about some of these categories, and the betting patterns have reflected that uncertainty.

“Chadwick Boseman looks like a lock to take home Best Actor posthumously, and rightfully so, but after Anthony Hopkins won the BAFTA, Boseman’s odds dropped from -5000 to -2000. Still, a heavy favorite, but worth noting.”

 

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Additional Notes:

Best Picture:
Nomadland has been the clear favorite for quite some time, but we’ve seen some decent action on Minari at +900.

Best Actress:
Most wide-open category we have. Day won Golden Globes, Davis won the SAG and McDormand won the BAFTA. However, Carey Mulligan, is slight favorite at +130.
Action is very balanced between the Top 4 favorites.

Best Supporting Actress:
Yuh-jung and Bakalova opened as co-favorites with +175 odds, but Yu-jung  took home the SAG and BAFTA, which shifted her odds to -450 currently.

You can find odds in real-time at SportsBetting.ag: https://www.sportsbetting.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/entertainment

Best Picture

Nomadland -750

The Trial of the Chicago 7 +800

Minari +900

Promising Young Woman +900

Judas and the Black Messiah +2000

Mank +2200

Sound of Metal +6600

The Father +6600

 

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) -2000

Anthony Hopkins (The Father) +700

Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal) +1400

Gary Oldman (Mank) +3300

Steven Yeun (Minari) +3300

 

Best Actress

Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) +130

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) +190

Frances McDormand (Nomadland) +400

Andra Day (The United States vs Billie Holiday) +500

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) +1600


Best Director

Chloe Zhao (Nomadland) -3000

David Fincher (Mank) +1000

Lee Isaac (Minari) +1600

Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) +1800

Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) +2800

 

Best Supporting Actor

Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) -2500

Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +1000

Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) +1400

Paul Raci (Sound of Metal) +1600

LaKeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah) +2800

 

Best Supporting Actress

Youn Yuh-jung (Minari) -450

Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Movie Film) +450

Amanda Seyfried (Mank) +1200

Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) +1200

Olivia Colman (The Father) +1800

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nomadland -300

The Father +275

Borat Subsequent Movie Film +700

One Night in Miami +1200

The White Tiger +2500

Best Animated Feature Film

Soul -4000

Wolfwalkers +750

Onward +1400

Over the Moon +1600

A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon +2500


Best Cinematography

Nomadland -350

Mank +225

News of the World +1400

Judas and the Black Messiah +1600

The Trial of the Chicago 7 +2000

Best Costume Design

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -500

Emma +325

Mank +900

Pinocchio +1600

Mulan +3300

Best Documentary Feature

My Octopus Teacher -275

Time +275

Crip Camp +700

Collective +900

The Mole Agent +3300

Best Film Editing

The Trial of the Chicago 7 -120

Sound of Metal -110

Nomadland +750

The Father +2200

Promising Young Woman +3300

Best International Feature Film

Another Round -1500

Quo Vadis, Aida? +600

Collective +900

Better Days +2000

The Man Who Sold His Skin +3300

Best Make-up and Hairstyling

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -400

Pinocchio +400

Hillbilly Elegy +700

Emma +1400

Mank +1400

Best Original Score

Soul -2500

Mank +600

Minari +1200

Da 5 Bloods +2500

News of the World +2500

Best Original Screenplay

Promising Young Woman -550

The Trial of the Chicago 7 +250

Minari +1400

Judas and the Black Messiah +3300

Sound of Metal +3300

Best Original Song

Speak Now -160

lo Si +250

Husavik +275

Fight For You +2000

Hear My Voice +2500

Best Production Design

Mank -900

Ma Raineys Black Bottom +600

Tenet +900

The Father +1600

News of the World +1800

Best Sound

Sound of Metal -4000

Mank +900

Soul +900

Greyhound +2500

News of the World +2500

Best Visual Effects

Tenet -600

The Midnight Sky +275

Mulan +1600

Love and Monsters +2500

The One and Only Ivan +2800

 

Lots of opportunities to potentially make some money .. if you feel lucky and have insight on the betting odds.

WHAT DO YOU THINK  WILL HAPPEN? Who are your favorites?

 

 

 

Stevie Wilson
LA-Story.com

Want to leave a comment or ask a question? Please send an email to stevie.wilson@LA-Story.com

 

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